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Groundhog Day!  Transource is Back!

9/24/2022

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Thought you were done with the Transource Independence Energy Connection when the Pennsylvania PUC denied their application to permit the project?  Thought you were done with it when Transource lost its appeal in the Commonwealth Court?

Sorry.  Even though that case has not quite exhausted its appeal in the U.S. District Court for the Middle District of Pennsylvania, and even though PJM suspended the project and removed it from its planning models, Transource has chucked that plan and resubmitted the same project in PJM's July 2022 competitive proposal window to solicit project proposals to address numerous reliability criteria violations on several flowgates in Maryland, Virginia, and Pennsylvania.

You can see Transource's new (old) proposal here. (Click to expand 2022 RTEP Window 1 at the top of the list.)  It's project number 633.  Transource describes its new proposal as:
This Proposed Solution is a resubmittal of the modified Independence Energy Connection (IEC) Project. The Proposed Solution consists of: (1) the IEC West Portion, which is comprised of approximately 29 miles of new double-circuit 230 kV AC overhead transmission line between the existing Potomac Edison Ringgold Substation in Washington County, Maryland to a new Rice Substation in Franklin County, Pennsylvania; and (2) the reconfigured IEC East Portion, which is primarily comprised of adding 230 kV AC overhead transmission lines between a new Furnace Run Substation in York County, Pennsylvania, and the existing BGE Conastone (via Baltimore County) and Graceton Substations in Harford County, Maryland.
That's right... Transource has taken its old project and resubmitted it to solve new "reliability" needs.

It's Groundhog Day!

It's not like Transource didn't already try to morph the IEC into a "reliability" project after the economic need for it evaporated during the PA PUC evidentiary hearing.  They tried really hard to find new reasons to build the same old, tired project without having to start again.  But the PA PUC rejected the idea that it could substitute a new "need" for the old one without PJM going through the whole planning cycle to determine if IEC was a good solution for the small reliability issues that may arise in the future. 

The jury is still out on that one.  When PJM suspended IEC, it noted:
Violations are small in magnitude and operating steps for a short term duration can mitigate issues pending further review in 2022 RTEP.
And now here we are... in the 2022 RTEP, where PJM has opened a competitive window for projects that would solve those "small in magnitude" reliability violations.  Transource still has to be selected as the best project submitted in the window, and approved by the PJM Board of Managers, and that hasn't happened yet.  There are plenty of other projects that have also been submitted.  Some projects are cheaper, some projects ar less invasive, some projects are more likely.  Transource's chances here are not great, but it bears watching.

Why would PJM waste another 7 years on a project that has already been rejected by a state utility commission?  And what if Transource wins its federal court appeal and the denial is remanded to the PUC?  Does that mean Transource will build the same project twice?  Seems like the more logical solution for PJM is to go with a new and different project without all IEC's baggage.  But when has PJM ever done anything logical when selecting projects?  Transource has already poured tens of millions into the IEC, and ratepayers are on the hook to pay for it, whether it is ever built or not, thanks to recovery guarantees granted by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.  Why would PJM encourage dumping more ratepayer money into the black hole of a project that is unlikely to ever be approved and built?  And why would PJM select a project with entrenched opposition, knowing that it would be hotly opposed from Day 1?

It seems that the good citizens of Pennsylvania and Maryland may never be free of the Transource IEC if the company keeps resubmitting the same project over and over, like a monkey flinging poop on the wall to see what sticks.  Nothing is going to stick, but it doesn't keep Transource from trying.  After all, ratepayers are on the hook for all the costs of Transource's Ground Hog Day project.

The least they could have done is rename it this time around.  How does Transource Groundhog Day Project sound?
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Electric Hot Potato

8/2/2022

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The U.S. electric grid is divided up into different regions, and several regions are struggling to keep the lights on this summer due to lack of generation at peak demand times.  There are issues in the Midwest, and Texas, and much of the west.  Clean energy fanatics like to blame this on "climate change" and pretend that "extreme weather" is to blame.  They keep advocating for more wind and solar generators and new transmission lines to connect them.  They make all sorts of suggestions about how we can avoid overtaxing renewable energy generators that may fail to operate when energy is needed.  The latest seems to be that air conditioning is overtaxing the system and we should learn to live without it, like our ancestors did.  What's next?  Heat?  Should we all switch to fireplaces and wood stoves and remove all our indoor plumbing so it doesn't freeze in the winter?  Worst of all, they call this "progress."

The wind and solar fantasy asserts that if we only triple the amount of electric transmission in this country, we'll have the capacity to ship every electron generated anywhere in the country to any other place that needs electricity.  The idea is that we can "borrow" from our neighboring regions when our own is deficient.

But let's pull back the wrapper on that idea a bit, shall we?  The PJM Interconnection region consists of Mid-Atlantic states and pushes west into parts of Illinois.  It covers the Ohio Valley, where the bulk of the electricity to fuel the East coast has been produced for decades at "mine mouth" plants that burn coal and natural gas and then ship the electricity east on gigantic transmission lines.  Because PJM is fossil fuel heavy (60% of the power in PJM is produced by coal and gas), it is a favorite place to "borrow" power when wind and solar is not producing enough in neighboring regions that have overbuilt wind and solar and closed their own coal and gas plants.

But now PJM is on the verge of its own crisis.  Where will PJM "borrow" power from when the surrounding regions don't have enough to share, and in fact are trying to "borrow" from PJM?  A group of power suppliers in PJM are speaking out about the upcoming crisis:
On the supply side in PJM, "we're seeing dramatic retirements" of coal-fired generation, with PJM retiring about 15 GW of coal in the next two years that it is not being replaced on a one-to-one basis, Thomas said.
The Midcontinent System Operator is experiencing a similar trend, with incremental generation resources being added that do not have the same reliability attributes as those being retired. "They are adding megawatts that are less valuable than the megawatts being retired, meaning they need to add significant multiples to replace what's being retired," he said.
In MISO, the accredited capacity being added goes down out to 2041, while the future load scenarios continue to go up.
The generator group calls this a "house of cards."  I've been referring to it as a game of hot potato.  Whatever its name, it means that we will run out of places to get power from very soon.  Are you ready to do without?
"This is kind of a fascinating trend, and arguably not a sustainable trend, because what all these other regions are counting on is importing power from other areas of the country to make up the difference and that's a house of cards waiting to fall," Thomas said.
PJM is not one of the areas identified by the North American Electricity Reliability Corporation, an international regulatory authority, as having reliability concerns, but "they're coming in a big way," he said.
The PJM interconnection queue of resources planning to connect to the grid is 95%, if not more, wind and solar power resources, which is where the economic signals are right now.
"There is going to be very little to no new natural gas coming into the system and coal is going to continue to retire" with the nuclear power resources remaining because they are subsidized at the state and federal level, Thomas said.
So we're retiring the reliable fossil fuel resources we (and other regions) have depended on to keep the lights on, and replacing them with intermittent, weather-dependent renewables that are not reliable.  And our government keeps propping up intermittent renewables with tax credits, loans and a plethora of expensive programs and regulations that make them a financial gold mine for companies that construct them.
One of the core tenets of the PJM capacity market is that in order to have capacity it must be deliverable. A megawatt of power on the system only has value if it can be delivered at peak demand periods, Thomas said.
PJM has been giving capacity accreditation to intermittent resources above their approved capacity injection rights levels, so these resources were selling capacity that was not deliverable, and that is a problem, he said.

The problematic aspect is consumers have been paying for capacity that has no value at peak, and suppliers "are getting boxed out of the market by these undeliverable megawatts," Thomas said.

Government spending is making our grid unreliable.  Can we change course before the lights go out?
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Dropping Off Some Reality

7/17/2022

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Some of Invenergy's fake news this past week mentioned that Grain Belt Express will "drop off" power in Missouri.  This is an inapt phrase used by people who don't understand transmission.  It annoys the spit out of me.

When you think "drop off" it sort of sounds like Missouri is getting a gift of electricity.  But it's actually more like getting a delivery of something you ordered and paid for, like a box of Amazon junk.  Did anyone in Missouri order electricity from Invenergy?  If the answer is "no", then you're not getting anything.  Only someone who has ordered and paid for the merchandise (electricity) is going to have it "dropped off" in Missouri.  There's no such thing as a free lunch.

Our electric transmission system is sort of like a network of water pipes.  That network is fully pressurized with water, and only when a paying customer turns on the taps do they receive anything.  Electricity is like water in a pipe network.  The lines are fully pressurized with electricity.  Only when you've signed a contract to pay for the electricity and for the delivery do you get to turn on a light switch and receive electricity from Grain Belt Express.

The problem is that GBE has only one known customer, a common buyer for municipal electric distributors known as MJMEUC.  MJMEUC signed a contract to purchase "up to" 250 MW of transmission service on GBE.  Separately, it signed a contract with a wind generator in Kansas to buy electricity to be delivered on GBE.  Only those customers who take service from MJMEUC will receive anything from GBE.  The rest of Missouri gets nothing.

The only thing being "dropped off" in Missouri is propaganda.

And think about this...  MJMEUC's contract buys electricity shipped to Missouri on GBE, but it also buys service for MJMEUC to ship electricity from Missouri to PJM in equal amount.  Now go back to that analogy about the water pipe network... if MJMEUC buys electricity and sells electricity in equal amount, is there really any electricity being "dropped off" in Missouri at all?  Electrons are all the same, no matter where or how they are generated.  The electrons from Kansas are exactly the same as the ones generated in Missouri.  MJMEUC actually gets nothing but the bill for pretending it's buying and selling electricity.  If the price MJMEUC buys electricity for in Kansas is less than the price it sells that electricity for in PJM, then MJMEUC gets paid the difference, minus line loss that happens from being transmitted and converted from AC/DC/AC.  Is it worth it?  Would PJM want to buy power from Missouri when it can generate the same power at home?

But what if the second "phase" of GBE from Missouri to PJM is never built and MJMEUC can't sell electricity, what does MJMEUC get then?  It gets more electricity than it needs to serve load and the generators in Missouri could be shut down.

It sort of sounds like the biggest scam ever, doesn't it?

I sort of wish these folks would educate themselves about the physics of electricity and the realities of the electric power market.  Then they'd simply drop Grain Belt Express off the nearest cliff.

Look out below!!!
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Transource Loses Appeal

5/5/2022

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The Commonwealth Court of Pennsylvania has denied Transource's appeal of the Pennsylvania Utility Commission's denial of its siting application.
Because we conclude that the Commission’s decision denying the Siting Applications and rescinding Transource’s provisional CPC was in accordance with Pennsylvania law, including Sections 1501 and 2805(a) of the Code, and Section 57.76(a) of the Regulations, and is supported by substantial, credited evidence
of
record, we affirm.
In plain language, this means that Transource loses and the PUC's rejection of the Transource project stands.  Congratulations, folks!

However, Transource's suit in the United States District Court for the Middle District of Pennsylvania is still alive, but it is now more unlikely than ever that Transource will prevail.  Transource's argument there is that PJM determines when transmission lines are needed and the state's only role is to decide where to put it.  That argument has never made sense, and makes even less sense now.  Here's why:
As for Transource’s arguments that PJM’s determination of need would be binding due to this matter involving issues of interstate regional transmission subject to FERC oversight,the ALJ held that the Commission was obligated to make an independent determination based on Pennsylvania law. (Id.at 82, 86, 99-102.)The ALJ further observed that while FERC has exclusive jurisdiction over the interstate transmission of electric energy and wholesale electric process, that jurisdiction was limited to matters that are not subject to state regulation. (Id.at 85 (citing Section 824(a) of the Federal Power Act, 16 U.S.C. § 824(a)).) According to the ALJ, FERC recognized this limitation by stating that there is “longstanding state authority over certain matters that are relevant to transmission planning and expansion, such as matters relevant to siting, permitting, and construction” and that the FERC was in noway invoking “an exercise of authority over those specific substantive matters traditionally reserved to the states . . . .”(Id.(quoting Transmission Planning and Cost Allocation by Transmission Owning & Operating Pub.Utils., 76 Fed. Reg. ¶¶49,842, 49,861 (Aug. 11, 2011) (FERC Order No. 1000)).) This means, according to the ALJ, that FERC Order No. 1000 was “not intended to dictate substantive outcomes” or to allow FERC to “determine what needs to be built, where it needs to be built, and who needs to build it.” (Id.at 85 n.13 (quoting S.C. Pub. Serv. Auth. v. Fed. Energy Reg. Comm’n, 762 F.3d 41, 57-58 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (internal quotation marks and citation omitted)).)
The PUC's decision was in accord with state law.  PJM has no authority when it comes to siting and permitting.  End of story.  If Transource was smart, it would withdraw the federal petition and run as fast as it could go back to Ohio.  But it probably won't.
What an astonishing waste of hundreds of millions of dollars that electric customers will be paying back (plus interest) in their monthly electric bills for years to come.

Here's something interesting from the Court's Opinion:

As for the resolution of congestion in the APSRI, it does not appear that we have ever held that congestion, which is an economic consideration, is sufficient on its own to support need or necessity under Pennsylvania law.
This "congestion relief" project was doomed from the start.  Relieving congestion is not "need" in the same realm as reliability concerns.  PJM should think long and hard before trying this again.  PJM should take the advice of its Market Monitor and revise its market efficiency project process to produce fair and accurate results that can withstand the test of time.  The Court said
It was not just OCA’s witness who criticized PJM’s cost-benefit analysis, but PJM’s own Independent Market Monitor who suggested that its market efficiency process, which includes the cost-benefit analysis, be reevaluated and that the actual costs and benefits of a project should be considered and not ignored in determining whether a market efficiency project is needed.
The "need" for this project began to evaporate before it was even ordered.  Congestion is an ever-shifting economic concept that cannot be used as the basis for a transmission project that will take years to approve, permit, and construct.

Bravo to the PA Office of the Consumer Advocate for all its hard work to protect Pennsylvania consumers and for supplying the evidence that demonstrated how flawed PJM's market efficiency process actually was.

Many concerned citizens felt that PJM was lying about the project and its cost benefit analysis.  In the end, the truth was revealed.  How could anyone ever trust PJM's magic math findings that new transmission is needed ever again?
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PJM Suspends Transource Independence Energy Connection Project

10/7/2021

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A couple weeks ago, PJM's Board of Managers very quietly suspended the Transource Independence Energy Connection Project "due to permitting risks."*

Between court, writing regulatory filings, and *gasp* a long-delayed vacation, I totally missed it.  From the look of things, though, so did everyone else.  So it's time to stand up and cheer, everyone!  You did it!!!

What does "suspend" mean?  It means that the project, which PJM calls "9A", has been removed from PJM's Regional Transmission Expansion Plan "pending further notice."  The project is not outright cancelled in its entirety... yet.  But, this means we're half-way there!!!
PJM says it will remove 9A from its upcoming RTEP and re-evaluate any reliability issues that remain.
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And what reliability issues does PJM foresee in its unneeded project crystal ball?  These. 
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But, pay attention to that last sentence in the very small font.  "Note: Violations are small in magnitude and operating steps for a short term duration can mitigate issues pending further review in 2022 RTEP."

Violations are small and not causing any problems currently.  You probably don't need a $500M sledgehammer to crack these nuts.

However, this whole thing bears watching.  I hate to tell you this, but when the same thing happened with the PATH Project, we had to wait 18 months for the re-evaluation and the actual cancellation of the project.  But I fully expect it is coming.

Now maybe Transource can quit wasting my money?
*This means YOU!  Good work!
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Transource Embarks on Fool's Errand to Appeal PA PUC Decision

6/30/2021

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Transource filed its big and bad federal appeal of the Pennsylvania PUC's denial of its transmission permit application last week.  Finally got around to reading it.  It's uninspired, bleary, legal dreck that relies on generalized federal statutes and bogus claims of Constitutional violations by the PUC.  Really?   Transource is using my ratepayer dollars to pay someone to write this garbage?

Transource presents the limitations on federal authority over state transmission permits, but tries to pretend there is some federal authority possessed by FERC that neuters state authority. 
Although the Federal Power Act assigns
authority over regional transmission projects and interstate transmission needs to
FERC, it preserves state authority over siting and construction issues related to those
projects. See New York, 535 U.S. at 18-22 (explaining that 16 U.S.C. § 824 contains a
“‘clear and specific grant of jurisdiction’ to FERC” over interstate transmission service
and rates but “reserve[s] state powers” over other matters); S.C. Pub. Serv. Auth., 762
F.3d at 62
Transmission rates and transmission planning -- that's the only thing under FERC's jurisdiction.  Permitting is handled by the states.  Transource thinks it's so crafty pulling the wool over the Court's eyes by attempting to equate rate authority with permitting authority.  The PA PUC did not attempt to interfere with transmission RATES as prohibited under Nantahala Power & Light Co.  What kind of a dolt wrote this crap?  FERC's planning authority does not extend to or overrule state permitting authority.  It's pretty simple!

Transource thinks that state authority over transmission permitting is a narrow left over from things the Feds don't want to cover. 
Transource brought its exceptions to the Recommended Decision before the full PAPUC, explaining in detail how the Recommended Decision misinterpreted FERC’s Order No. 1000, the meaning and weight of the PJM regional transmission planning process and decision on Project 9A, and the remaining role left for the PAPUC under state law in this context.
Sorry, Transource, federal law says transmission siting and permitting are left to the states.  Their jurisdiction is broad.

Transource also thinks that by participating in PJM's regional transmission world Pennsylvania is subjecting itself to PJM's authority over all things electrical.  If this is true, states are going to check out and begin to run their own systems on a state level.  Is this what FERC and PJM want?
Pennsylvania made the choice to allow its utilities to join PJM, and it has reaped the benefits of being part of an integrated regional market. A consequence, however, is that the state has chosen to subordinate its police power interests in determining the need for new transmission projects to PJM’s determination of regional needs.
RIDICULOUS!

Transource also attempts to put the onus on the PA PUC to take some action at PJM's committee meetings, or by filing a complaint at FERC, if it disagreed with PJM's "need" determination.  The PA PUC is not a subservient creature under PJM's thumb.  PJM's designated entity brings a project to the PUC, and the PUC decides, not the other way around.  Ya know, PJM's little book of rules allows a Designated Entity to get off the hook for constructing a project when a state fails to approve.  That pretty much tells you all you need to know about the authority of states to have the final say on transmission permits.

Transource pretends it is still building the project, and that it needs to access people's private property for its tests and studies.
Under Pennsylvania law, the PAPUC’s order had immediate effect and is in force today, see 66 Pa. Cons. Stat. § 316, meaning that Transource is no longer a Pennsylvania-authorized public utility. Thus, Transource is no longer authorized to access lands for project assessment or to conduct appraisals.
Yes.

Transource also worries that PJM might cancel its project if the court doesn't hurry up and overturn the PUC.
Transource PA faces the prospect of imminent and irreparable harm as a result of the PAPUC’s order. Under its Designated Entity Agreement, Transource PA is required to acquire all state permits by September 30, 2021. A failure to meet that milestone date constitutes a breach of the agreement, which could result in the elimination of Project 9A from the Regional Transmission Expansion Plan and the termination of the agreement.
Poor, poor Transource!  What a victim!  So, who is in charge of PJM transmission projects again?  Is it PJM?  Or is it Transource?  Seems like cancellation would be a blessing for all involved.... except it doesn't make money for AEP!

Speaking of victims... Transource is quite worried that the costs of this appeal could end up coming out of the pockets of regional ratepayers... like the other $100M or so Transource has already wasted on this project without care or consideration.
Transource PA requests such other and further relief as the Court may deem just and proper, including attorneys’ fees pursuant to 42 U.S.C.
§ 1988.
Transource acts like the legal fees are coming out of its own pockets.  It isn't intending to pocket reimbursement for legal fees, and charge ratepayers for them anyhow, is it?  Someone had better check...

Transource makes much of PJM's "congestion" determinations and cost/benefit calculations.  PJM simply wasn't believable to the PUC, who has a duty to examine the evidence and find facts upon which to base its decision. 

The "congestion" PJM initially found has pretty much entirely disappeared today.  PJM did not disagree with that, it simply told the PUC that it should base its current decision on PJM's stopped clock analysis circa 2015.  Same with the cost/benefit analysis, which was created using PJM's Magic Math Calculator.
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There's simply nothing in Pennsylvania state law that controls the actions of the PUC that requires the PUC to ignore evidence that contradicts PJM.  And, of course, there's absolutely nothing in federal law either.

Transource fails to point to any federal law that was violated by the PUC, and its claims of Constitutional violations are overblown nonsense that fail to acknowledge ALL the reasons the PUC denied Transource's application.
Bottom line:  There is nothing in state or federal law that gives authority to issue or compel state transmission permits to an unelected, unappointed cartel like PJM.  Pennsylvania law is the only law that matters here, and that law requires the PUC to determine whether the project is needed.  It does not require that the PUC accept need determinations made by entities outside state control.

End of story.
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Transource Says It Will Seek Federal Appeal For IEC

6/17/2021

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There's no federal appeals court for a state transmission permitting decision you don't like.  Transmission permitting and siting is state jurisdictional.  The authority to issue permits begins and ends within the state.

However, in a letter to the Maryland Public Service Commission, Transource says that after being denied a permit by Pennsylvania it will seek appropriate judicial and regulatory relief at the federal level.

Appropriate?  There's no appropriate judicial or regulatory relief at the federal level.  Transource must be dreaming!

Here's Transource's scheme, in a nutshell...

Transmission planning is a federal affair carried out by regional transmission organizations (PJM) under the supervision of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.  Transource thinks that because PJM found the Independence Energy Connection to be "needed" that prevents Pennsylvania from carrying out its own evaluation of need under the state statute.  Transource purports that Pennsylvania must accept PJM's findings of "need" and therefore must issue a state permit.

Sorry, Transource, that just doesn't work!  Good luck finding a federal court that will even accept jurisdiction of such a crazy contention.  Even FERC can't help you in the regulatory realm.  FERC does not have authority to issue transmission permits except in certain rare situations for which Transource doesn't qualify.

I think the Pennsylvania PUC was quite clear in its Order.
We expressly reject any argument that the authority granted by the Pennsylvania Legislature to this Commission under the Code, including the power to apply Commission Regulations in the present circumstances, is preempted by the federal power pursuant to which PJM conducts its selection process for regional transmission planning purposes, including Project 9A.  To the extent Transource argues that this Commission is prohibited from rendering an independent determination of “need” for Project 9A, which may find that the weight of the evidence does not support a determination of “need” for the proposed project, pursuant to 52 Pa. Code § 57.76(a)(1), despite PJM’s selection of the project for regional planning purposes, we disagree. 

Contrary to Transource’s asserted position, the federal authority under which PJM operates does not extend beyond PJM’s approval process, where approval is sought from a state commission.  PJM approval for a project, including Project 9A, does not guarantee approval for siting and construction of transmission lines within the borders of the sovereign Commonwealth of Pennsylvania
There's simply nothing there on a federal level that could support a federal appeal.
FERC likewise recognizes this limitation stating the following as part of Order No. 1000:
 
We acknowledge that there is longstanding state authority over certain matters that are relevant to transmission planning and expansion, such as matters relevant to siting, permitting, and construction.  However, nothing in this Final Rule involves an exercise of siting, permitting, and construction authority. The transmission planning and cost allocation requirements of this Final Rule, like those of Order No. 890, are associated with the processes used to identify and evaluate transmission system needs and potential solutions to those needs. In establishing these reforms, the Commission is simply requiring that certain processes be instituted.  This in no way involves an exercise of authority over those specific substantive matters traditionally reserved to the states, including integrated resource planning, or authority over such transmission facilities. For this reason, we see no reason why this Final Rule should create conflicts between state and federal requirements.
 
The D.C. Court of appeals summarized Order No. 1000, as follows:
 
In Order No. 1000, the Commission expressly “decline[d] to impose obligations to build or mandatory processes to obtain commitments to construct transmission facilities in the regional transmission plan.” More generally, the Commission disavowed that it was purporting to “determine what needs to be built, where it needs to be built, and who needs to build it.”  As the Commission explained on rehearing, “Order No. 1000’s transmission planning reforms are concerned with process” and “are not intended to dictate substantive outcomes.” The substance of a regional transmission plan and any subsequent formation of agreements to construct or operate regional transmission facilities remain within the discretion of the decision-makers in each planning region.
Trying to upend years of precedent and usurp state authority to site and permit electric transmission is a fools errand.  It's not a prudent use of ratepayer funds that Transource is eventually going to have to ask to recover.  Anyone who's been in the transmission regulatory world for more than 2.5 minutes is guaranteed to laugh at this harebrained scheme.

Is this just a delaying tactic that keeps the lawyer cash register running?  Cha-ching $$$  Cha-ching!

IEC is dead.  Put it out of its misery.  Don't make yourself into the laughing stock of the transmission world.  Quit wasting my money, AEP!
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PJM Calls Pennsylvania PUC Denial of Transource Project A Siting Delay

6/3/2021

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PJM's first Transmission Expansion Advisory Committee meeting since its ordered Transource Independence Energy Connection project was denied by the PA PUC veers off into the ridiculous.

While meeting materials show that PJM will engage in studies to see if any issues are created by removing the IEC from PJM's plan, PJM is wearing blinders on its journey there.
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It seems IEC's construction schedule is being impacted due to the siting process.  I guess you could put it that way, since a denial by the PUC would prevent the project from being sited.... ever!  But never fear, a denial is only a "delay to the projected completion" in PJM's dream world.  They act like the PUC is going to change its mind somewhere down the road.  Of course, that is unlikely to happen.  But PJM wants to pretend it can happen.

PJM just cannot admit that the IEC project was a mistake from the very beginning.  PJM cannot admit that it made a mistake when it endlessly propped up the IEC project in the face of mounting evidence that it was too costly and wasn't needed.  PJM can never admit that its planning is fallible.

Here's PJM riding along on its bike of "need" for the IEC... until it hits the PA PUC speed bump.

PJM meant to do that.

Sure it did!
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PJM Plans Studies to Remove Transource IEC From its Plan

5/25/2021

1 Comment

 
Well, it seems that didn't take long.  PJM issued a statement yesterday according to trade press RTO Insider.
Officials at PJM said they were also reviewing the PUC’s decision and that it “appreciates the commission’s consideration.”

“PJM will commence the appropriate planning studies to determine next steps, including identifying any potential reliability issues due to removal of the project from the Regional Transmission Expansion Plan,” the RTO said in a statement.

So PJM is removing the IEC from its plan?  Is that some kind of Freudian slip or a sudden realization?

Dear Dr. Freud would probably also be verrrrry interrrrested in PJM's sudden interest in doing planning studies to identify any potential reliability issues due to removal of the project from its plan, since it refused to do these kinds of studies during the PUC case, insisting that some old data was good enough to determine there was a serious reliability issue that only IEC could solve. 

Was PJM lying then, or is it lying now?

I seem to remember PJM refusing to do these very same studies to support the project's "reliability" claims at the PUC.
The OCA also noted that Transource’s assertions regarding “reliability” as a basis for need refer to a single generation deliverability test performed by PJM in 2018.  Further, the OCA noted PJM neither, performed its full suite of reliability tests to confirm that these reliability violations will result in 2023, nor, performed another generation deliverability test since 2018 which may confirm or refute the results of the 2018 test.  
If PJM didn't do these studies during the PUC case, then it did not have to recognize that there is no reliability issue IEC must solve.  PJM's new studies may magically determine that the project isn't needed after all, and then PJM can remove it from the RTEP.  No fuss, no muss!

Hit it, Alanis...
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Pennsylvania PUC Denies Transource IEC Project Application

5/24/2021

2 Comments

 
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Late last week, the PA PUC voted on an Order denying the application of AEP affiliate Transource to build the Independence Energy Connection in Franklin and York Counties.  Today, the PUC issued the Order.

Denied, denied, denied, denied and denied!  The PUC also rescinded Transource's Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity for the project, and ordered all related dockets closed.  As far as the PA PUC is concerned, the Transource nightmare is over and done.  Of course, Transource may (and probably will) ask the Commission to reconsider its decision.    After that, Transource may have certain rights to appeal the decision of the PUC.  However, chances of that being successful seem to be hovering between slim and none.

The Commission adopted the Recommended Decision of Judge Barnes, except as modified in the Order.  The modifications are few.  The Commission addressed all the exceptions to Judge Barnes' decision, and granted only one.  That one was the Judge's finding of fact regarding interference with GPS systems used in farming operations.  The Commission struck that finding, but it did not change the outcome.  The second bone of contention was Judge Barnes' recommendation that the Commission should issue a Rule to Show Cause why Transource's CPCN should not be rescinded.  The Commission simply skipped bothering with another proceeding and straight up rescinded Transource's CPCN in this Order.

The Commission reprimanded Transource over several of its exceptions.  One was its contention that ALL the findings of fact by Judge Barnes should be disregarded where they don't agree with Transource's contentions.  Transource forgot to mention WHY, or provide any facts whatsoever, to support this exception.  Exceptions must be specific, or the Commission cannot even consider them.  Denied!
In its Exception No. 8, Transource asserts that the ALJ’s recommendation to deny Project 9A is based on “faulty findings” without specifying any alleged factual or legal error.  In footnote to its Exception, Transource takes issue with certain specified findings by the ALJ and asserts, as a general matter, that all the ALJ’s findings of fact and conclusions of law should be disregarded to the extent the findings “are inconsistent with [Transource’s] Exceptions, Briefs and Testimony in this proceeding.”  Transource Exc. at 39, fn. 27 (emphasis added). 
 
We note that Transource’s Exception, as stated, fails to conform with Commission Regulations for stating exceptions, and lacks sufficient specificity to enable our review.  See 52 Pa. Code § 5.533 (pertaining to exceptions, requiring that the exceptions be stated with supporting reasons for each exception).  A general assertion that all the ALJ’s factual findings and legal conclusions should be disregarded to the extent they are “inconsistent” with a party’s filings does not state a supporting reason to disregard any of the findings and conclusions.  
Transource's team of crack lawyers (the best our money can buy!) should have known better.

They also should have known better regarding their crazy contention that the PA PUC has no authority (under federal law) to deny a project ordered by PJM.  Pennsylvania must evaluate the need for the project under statute.  Pennsylvania's statute is not satisfied by abdicating to PJM's findings of need.  I think this might be my favorite part:
... “need” from a PJM planning perspective may or may not be, as Transource asserts, “consistent with the standard for need under Pennsylvania law.”  It is for this Commission, not PJM, to decide whether the PJM planning perspective is, or is not, in line with the Pennsylvania standard for “need” under the Code, Commission Regulations and relevant caselaw.
BAM!  Read it and weep, Transource.  Of course, Transource must have known that this argument would lead nowhere, and possibly tick off the Commission.  But they went there anyhow.  Was it because Transource simply had nothing else?

Pennsylvania's Consumer Advocate deserves an MVP award for its work on this case.  The Consumer Advocate provided the experts and data that demonstrated how the transmission project would cause additional costs to ratepayers in Pennsylvania, and how PJM refused to consider these impacts.  PJM's claims simply were not true, no matter what lengths it went to in order to continue to push this project along towards approval.  It's refreshing to see all the PJM flim-flam stripped away, and for regulators to evaluate a transmission proposal based on its actual merits, instead of the glammed up package presented by a regional transmission organization.  The judge and the Commission are not buying PJM's story, and are not impressed in the least by PJM's self-importance or overly-complicated geek speak.  It is what it is, and IEC simply isn't needed.
Isn't it time for PJM to fall gracefully on its sword and cancel the project as it has done in the past for the PATH project, the MAPP project, the Monmouth County Reliability Project, and others, when the need for the project simply and magically evaporated?  C'mon, PJM, the time has come!

PJM's first foray into competitive market efficiency projects has been an overly expensive failure.  Transmission congestion is fleeting, and PJM's planning process simply takes too long.  The IEC was no longer needed by the time the PJM Board approved it.  But once PJM decides it wants a project, actual need no longer matters.  It's about the project, not the process.  The lengths PJM went to in order to continue to prop up this project are truly shameful.  It's time for PJM to come to terms with reality and fix its broken processes that allowed this travesty to play out over the last five years, including the changes it made to FERC-approved mechanisms that allow PJM to ignore cost increases to parts of the region caused by projects that lower costs for others, and to ignore new generation coming online on the other side of the transmission constraint.  It has now been proven that neither one of these policies will fool a state regulator on the question of "need."  When PJM does these things, it damages its credibility as a regional transmission planner.  How many times can PJM order and support projects that are not truly needed before they are simply unreliable and unbelievable?  PJM is not acting in the best interests of regional electric consumers when it orders unneeded projects.  It's acting in the financial interests of its utility members.  How many hundreds of millions of dollars have PJM electric consumers paid in their monthly electric bills for projects that were never built?  Transource's IEC, like other cancelled projects before it, will collect all its project costs through FERC-jurisdictional transmission rates even though the project was never built.  FERC transmission incentives allow the owner of a cancelled project to file to collect all its costs in the event of abandonment.  Transource gets made whole, and even earns a return (interest) on its investment until the project is finally paid off.  But what about the citizens, landowners, and communities who made a huge investment in legal fees in order to participate in the PUC case and uncover the truth?  What do they get?  Are they made whole?  No, they simply enjoy not being burdened by a new transmission line in their community, and the personal satisfaction of victory when speaking truth to power.

If it strikes your fancy, go ahead and tell PJM what you think about their actions, and urge them to cancel IEC before it costs you any more money.

Of course, this story would not be complete without recognizing the hundreds of concerned citizens who stepped up, organized, attended meetings and hearings, and participated in the regulatory process.  Ordinary people doing extraordinary things!  Their hard work and determination changed the course of history!  Despite PJM's original "constructability" analysis that the only impediments to this project sited on "vacant land" were bats and crossing state game land, the people have proven that there is no such thing as "vacant land" that nobody cares about.  People care deeply about their land and community, and they will do remarkable things to protect the places they call home.

Let's end with my favorite quote from cultural anthropologist Margaret Mead:
Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it's the only thing that ever has.
Congratulations, folks!  Let the parties begin!
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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