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Transource Says It Will Seek Federal Appeal For IEC

6/17/2021

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There's no federal appeals court for a state transmission permitting decision you don't like.  Transmission permitting and siting is state jurisdictional.  The authority to issue permits begins and ends within the state.

However, in a letter to the Maryland Public Service Commission, Transource says that after being denied a permit by Pennsylvania it will seek appropriate judicial and regulatory relief at the federal level.

Appropriate?  There's no appropriate judicial or regulatory relief at the federal level.  Transource must be dreaming!

Here's Transource's scheme, in a nutshell...

Transmission planning is a federal affair carried out by regional transmission organizations (PJM) under the supervision of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.  Transource thinks that because PJM found the Independence Energy Connection to be "needed" that prevents Pennsylvania from carrying out its own evaluation of need under the state statute.  Transource purports that Pennsylvania must accept PJM's findings of "need" and therefore must issue a state permit.

Sorry, Transource, that just doesn't work!  Good luck finding a federal court that will even accept jurisdiction of such a crazy contention.  Even FERC can't help you in the regulatory realm.  FERC does not have authority to issue transmission permits except in certain rare situations for which Transource doesn't qualify.

I think the Pennsylvania PUC was quite clear in its Order.
We expressly reject any argument that the authority granted by the Pennsylvania Legislature to this Commission under the Code, including the power to apply Commission Regulations in the present circumstances, is preempted by the federal power pursuant to which PJM conducts its selection process for regional transmission planning purposes, including Project 9A.  To the extent Transource argues that this Commission is prohibited from rendering an independent determination of “need” for Project 9A, which may find that the weight of the evidence does not support a determination of “need” for the proposed project, pursuant to 52 Pa. Code § 57.76(a)(1), despite PJM’s selection of the project for regional planning purposes, we disagree. 

Contrary to Transource’s asserted position, the federal authority under which PJM operates does not extend beyond PJM’s approval process, where approval is sought from a state commission.  PJM approval for a project, including Project 9A, does not guarantee approval for siting and construction of transmission lines within the borders of the sovereign Commonwealth of Pennsylvania
There's simply nothing there on a federal level that could support a federal appeal.
FERC likewise recognizes this limitation stating the following as part of Order No. 1000:
 
We acknowledge that there is longstanding state authority over certain matters that are relevant to transmission planning and expansion, such as matters relevant to siting, permitting, and construction.  However, nothing in this Final Rule involves an exercise of siting, permitting, and construction authority. The transmission planning and cost allocation requirements of this Final Rule, like those of Order No. 890, are associated with the processes used to identify and evaluate transmission system needs and potential solutions to those needs. In establishing these reforms, the Commission is simply requiring that certain processes be instituted.  This in no way involves an exercise of authority over those specific substantive matters traditionally reserved to the states, including integrated resource planning, or authority over such transmission facilities. For this reason, we see no reason why this Final Rule should create conflicts between state and federal requirements.
 
The D.C. Court of appeals summarized Order No. 1000, as follows:
 
In Order No. 1000, the Commission expressly “decline[d] to impose obligations to build or mandatory processes to obtain commitments to construct transmission facilities in the regional transmission plan.” More generally, the Commission disavowed that it was purporting to “determine what needs to be built, where it needs to be built, and who needs to build it.”  As the Commission explained on rehearing, “Order No. 1000’s transmission planning reforms are concerned with process” and “are not intended to dictate substantive outcomes.” The substance of a regional transmission plan and any subsequent formation of agreements to construct or operate regional transmission facilities remain within the discretion of the decision-makers in each planning region.
Trying to upend years of precedent and usurp state authority to site and permit electric transmission is a fools errand.  It's not a prudent use of ratepayer funds that Transource is eventually going to have to ask to recover.  Anyone who's been in the transmission regulatory world for more than 2.5 minutes is guaranteed to laugh at this harebrained scheme.

Is this just a delaying tactic that keeps the lawyer cash register running?  Cha-ching $$$  Cha-ching!

IEC is dead.  Put it out of its misery.  Don't make yourself into the laughing stock of the transmission world.  Quit wasting my money, AEP!
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PJM Calls Pennsylvania PUC Denial of Transource Project A Siting Delay

6/3/2021

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PJM's first Transmission Expansion Advisory Committee meeting since its ordered Transource Independence Energy Connection project was denied by the PA PUC veers off into the ridiculous.

While meeting materials show that PJM will engage in studies to see if any issues are created by removing the IEC from PJM's plan, PJM is wearing blinders on its journey there.
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It seems IEC's construction schedule is being impacted due to the siting process.  I guess you could put it that way, since a denial by the PUC would prevent the project from being sited.... ever!  But never fear, a denial is only a "delay to the projected completion" in PJM's dream world.  They act like the PUC is going to change its mind somewhere down the road.  Of course, that is unlikely to happen.  But PJM wants to pretend it can happen.

PJM just cannot admit that the IEC project was a mistake from the very beginning.  PJM cannot admit that it made a mistake when it endlessly propped up the IEC project in the face of mounting evidence that it was too costly and wasn't needed.  PJM can never admit that its planning is fallible.

Here's PJM riding along on its bike of "need" for the IEC... until it hits the PA PUC speed bump.

PJM meant to do that.

Sure it did!
1 Comment

PJM Plans Studies to Remove Transource IEC From its Plan

5/25/2021

1 Comment

 
Well, it seems that didn't take long.  PJM issued a statement yesterday according to trade press RTO Insider.
Officials at PJM said they were also reviewing the PUC’s decision and that it “appreciates the commission’s consideration.”

“PJM will commence the appropriate planning studies to determine next steps, including identifying any potential reliability issues due to removal of the project from the Regional Transmission Expansion Plan,” the RTO said in a statement.

So PJM is removing the IEC from its plan?  Is that some kind of Freudian slip or a sudden realization?

Dear Dr. Freud would probably also be verrrrry interrrrested in PJM's sudden interest in doing planning studies to identify any potential reliability issues due to removal of the project from its plan, since it refused to do these kinds of studies during the PUC case, insisting that some old data was good enough to determine there was a serious reliability issue that only IEC could solve. 

Was PJM lying then, or is it lying now?

I seem to remember PJM refusing to do these very same studies to support the project's "reliability" claims at the PUC.
The OCA also noted that Transource’s assertions regarding “reliability” as a basis for need refer to a single generation deliverability test performed by PJM in 2018.  Further, the OCA noted PJM neither, performed its full suite of reliability tests to confirm that these reliability violations will result in 2023, nor, performed another generation deliverability test since 2018 which may confirm or refute the results of the 2018 test.  
If PJM didn't do these studies during the PUC case, then it did not have to recognize that there is no reliability issue IEC must solve.  PJM's new studies may magically determine that the project isn't needed after all, and then PJM can remove it from the RTEP.  No fuss, no muss!

Hit it, Alanis...
1 Comment

Pennsylvania PUC Denies Transource IEC Project Application

5/24/2021

2 Comments

 
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Late last week, the PA PUC voted on an Order denying the application of AEP affiliate Transource to build the Independence Energy Connection in Franklin and York Counties.  Today, the PUC issued the Order.

Denied, denied, denied, denied and denied!  The PUC also rescinded Transource's Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity for the project, and ordered all related dockets closed.  As far as the PA PUC is concerned, the Transource nightmare is over and done.  Of course, Transource may (and probably will) ask the Commission to reconsider its decision.    After that, Transource may have certain rights to appeal the decision of the PUC.  However, chances of that being successful seem to be hovering between slim and none.

The Commission adopted the Recommended Decision of Judge Barnes, except as modified in the Order.  The modifications are few.  The Commission addressed all the exceptions to Judge Barnes' decision, and granted only one.  That one was the Judge's finding of fact regarding interference with GPS systems used in farming operations.  The Commission struck that finding, but it did not change the outcome.  The second bone of contention was Judge Barnes' recommendation that the Commission should issue a Rule to Show Cause why Transource's CPCN should not be rescinded.  The Commission simply skipped bothering with another proceeding and straight up rescinded Transource's CPCN in this Order.

The Commission reprimanded Transource over several of its exceptions.  One was its contention that ALL the findings of fact by Judge Barnes should be disregarded where they don't agree with Transource's contentions.  Transource forgot to mention WHY, or provide any facts whatsoever, to support this exception.  Exceptions must be specific, or the Commission cannot even consider them.  Denied!
In its Exception No. 8, Transource asserts that the ALJ’s recommendation to deny Project 9A is based on “faulty findings” without specifying any alleged factual or legal error.  In footnote to its Exception, Transource takes issue with certain specified findings by the ALJ and asserts, as a general matter, that all the ALJ’s findings of fact and conclusions of law should be disregarded to the extent the findings “are inconsistent with [Transource’s] Exceptions, Briefs and Testimony in this proceeding.”  Transource Exc. at 39, fn. 27 (emphasis added). 
 
We note that Transource’s Exception, as stated, fails to conform with Commission Regulations for stating exceptions, and lacks sufficient specificity to enable our review.  See 52 Pa. Code § 5.533 (pertaining to exceptions, requiring that the exceptions be stated with supporting reasons for each exception).  A general assertion that all the ALJ’s factual findings and legal conclusions should be disregarded to the extent they are “inconsistent” with a party’s filings does not state a supporting reason to disregard any of the findings and conclusions.  
Transource's team of crack lawyers (the best our money can buy!) should have known better.

They also should have known better regarding their crazy contention that the PA PUC has no authority (under federal law) to deny a project ordered by PJM.  Pennsylvania must evaluate the need for the project under statute.  Pennsylvania's statute is not satisfied by abdicating to PJM's findings of need.  I think this might be my favorite part:
... “need” from a PJM planning perspective may or may not be, as Transource asserts, “consistent with the standard for need under Pennsylvania law.”  It is for this Commission, not PJM, to decide whether the PJM planning perspective is, or is not, in line with the Pennsylvania standard for “need” under the Code, Commission Regulations and relevant caselaw.
BAM!  Read it and weep, Transource.  Of course, Transource must have known that this argument would lead nowhere, and possibly tick off the Commission.  But they went there anyhow.  Was it because Transource simply had nothing else?

Pennsylvania's Consumer Advocate deserves an MVP award for its work on this case.  The Consumer Advocate provided the experts and data that demonstrated how the transmission project would cause additional costs to ratepayers in Pennsylvania, and how PJM refused to consider these impacts.  PJM's claims simply were not true, no matter what lengths it went to in order to continue to push this project along towards approval.  It's refreshing to see all the PJM flim-flam stripped away, and for regulators to evaluate a transmission proposal based on its actual merits, instead of the glammed up package presented by a regional transmission organization.  The judge and the Commission are not buying PJM's story, and are not impressed in the least by PJM's self-importance or overly-complicated geek speak.  It is what it is, and IEC simply isn't needed.
Isn't it time for PJM to fall gracefully on its sword and cancel the project as it has done in the past for the PATH project, the MAPP project, the Monmouth County Reliability Project, and others, when the need for the project simply and magically evaporated?  C'mon, PJM, the time has come!

PJM's first foray into competitive market efficiency projects has been an overly expensive failure.  Transmission congestion is fleeting, and PJM's planning process simply takes too long.  The IEC was no longer needed by the time the PJM Board approved it.  But once PJM decides it wants a project, actual need no longer matters.  It's about the project, not the process.  The lengths PJM went to in order to continue to prop up this project are truly shameful.  It's time for PJM to come to terms with reality and fix its broken processes that allowed this travesty to play out over the last five years, including the changes it made to FERC-approved mechanisms that allow PJM to ignore cost increases to parts of the region caused by projects that lower costs for others, and to ignore new generation coming online on the other side of the transmission constraint.  It has now been proven that neither one of these policies will fool a state regulator on the question of "need."  When PJM does these things, it damages its credibility as a regional transmission planner.  How many times can PJM order and support projects that are not truly needed before they are simply unreliable and unbelievable?  PJM is not acting in the best interests of regional electric consumers when it orders unneeded projects.  It's acting in the financial interests of its utility members.  How many hundreds of millions of dollars have PJM electric consumers paid in their monthly electric bills for projects that were never built?  Transource's IEC, like other cancelled projects before it, will collect all its project costs through FERC-jurisdictional transmission rates even though the project was never built.  FERC transmission incentives allow the owner of a cancelled project to file to collect all its costs in the event of abandonment.  Transource gets made whole, and even earns a return (interest) on its investment until the project is finally paid off.  But what about the citizens, landowners, and communities who made a huge investment in legal fees in order to participate in the PUC case and uncover the truth?  What do they get?  Are they made whole?  No, they simply enjoy not being burdened by a new transmission line in their community, and the personal satisfaction of victory when speaking truth to power.

If it strikes your fancy, go ahead and tell PJM what you think about their actions, and urge them to cancel IEC before it costs you any more money.

Of course, this story would not be complete without recognizing the hundreds of concerned citizens who stepped up, organized, attended meetings and hearings, and participated in the regulatory process.  Ordinary people doing extraordinary things!  Their hard work and determination changed the course of history!  Despite PJM's original "constructability" analysis that the only impediments to this project sited on "vacant land" were bats and crossing state game land, the people have proven that there is no such thing as "vacant land" that nobody cares about.  People care deeply about their land and community, and they will do remarkable things to protect the places they call home.

Let's end with my favorite quote from cultural anthropologist Margaret Mead:
Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it's the only thing that ever has.
Congratulations, folks!  Let the parties begin!
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Transource Mansplains Why Pennsylvania Must Approve Its Project

1/14/2021

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Of course Transource filed exceptions to the Administrative Law Judge's recommended denial of its unnecessary transmission project.  That shouldn't come as any surprise.  But what is surprising is all the mansplaining required to inform the PA PUC that its job is merely to site the transmission project.  Transource says that the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has authority to approve transmission projects that affect interstate transmission rates.  Transource explains that the only role state utility commissions have is to determine where the project is going because a state may not deny a transmission project permit.
The RD [Recommended Decision] confuses federal and state roles by attempting to overturn PJM’s transmission planning role as approved by FERC. It is undisputed that states retain jurisdiction over transmission siting and construction issues. However, FERC has exclusive jurisdiction over interstate transmission planning and has approved PJM’s role as outlined in its tariff. FERC held in Order 1000 that the regional planning requirements, including transmission planning to address market efficiency considerations, were being adopted pursuant to FERC’s rate jurisdiction under Section 206 of the Federal Power Act. The Federal Power Act preempts state jurisdiction over the wholesale rates of electricity in interstate commerce.
On the one hand, Transource says that the PUC is preempted from having any role in a regionally planned transmission project, except to decide siting and construction issues, but on the other hand, it begs the PUC to approve its transmission project.

Does Transource really expect the PA PUC to roll over and make itself irrelevant?  If states were obligated to accept the RTO's determination of "need", it upends the entire world of state authority to permit transmission projects.  Most states have statutory requirements to determine (for themselves!) whether a transmission project is needed.  Sure, they can consider what the RTO says about need, but they have to make their own determination based upon state law.  Transource purports that the state's "need" criteria are satisfied by simply accepting what PJM says.  However, PJM's planning and "need" determinations are not subject to Pennsylvania law.

FERC has jurisdiction over interstate transmission RATES.  That means the rates transmission projects approved by states may charge to customers.  FERC also has jurisdiction over the actions of the RTO, and can require that they plan transmission.  And that's where FERC's jurisdiction stops.  FERC simply cannot permit transmission projects.  That's a job for the individual states.  Only a state may issue a permit for a transmission project.

If the PA PUC accepts Transource's assertion that it may not reject a transmission project approved by PJM, it sets a dangerous precedent whereby states would be rubber-stamping yes men who abrogate their authority over transmission to the federal government.  Why would any state ever do this?  No one ever willingly relinquishes their power.

Transource also gets all wadded up over the Judge's independent evaluation of the evidence presented and determination of the facts.  It's up to the judge to determine the facts from the evidence presented.  Only the judge can determine which pieces of evidence have greater weight.  However, Transource insists that its evidence is the ONLY evidence worth evaluating and therefore the judge must accept Transource's evidence as superior to all other evidence and simply agree with Transource's purported facts.  Judges are fact finders.  It's what they do.  They determine the facts based on the evidence, and then apply the law to the facts in order to make a judgement.  That's exactly what ALJ Barnes did in the Transource case.  She simply did not believe everything Transource said, when compared to conflicting evidence from other parties.

For instance, Transource's expert testified that transmission lines do not interfere with GPS systems used to guide farmers.  Transource's expert is not a farmer.  He's never driven a GPS-guided piece of farm equipment underneath a transmission line.  However, actual farmers who have driven GPS-guided farm equipment underneath transmission lines testified that there is interference.  The judge weighed these two pieces of conflicting evidence and decided to take the word of the person who actually has experience farming underneath existing transmission lines.  Transource nearly had a conniption over that.  How could the judge accept the testimony of a lay person over its expert?  Don't believe your lying eyes!

It hasn't been lost on me that the judge is a woman.  It obviously isn't lost on Transource, either.  The tone of Transource's exceptions brief crosses the line into the realm of mansplaining.  What's mansplaining?
to explain something to a woman in a condescending way that assumes she has no knowledge about the topic
Transource says over and over again that the judge simply doesn't understand things.  Tut, tut, tut, there, there, little lady, you simply don't understand the manly world of electric transmission, let me explain it to you so you understand.

Excuse me... but this is an experienced Administrative Law Judge.  She didn't get where she is today by being a silly wallflower.  She understands transmission perfectly well, she just didn't agree with Transource.  She wasn't intimidated by PJM's complicated explanations about why this transmission project is needed.  Maybe the RTO's overly-complicated evidence and testimony is designed to confuse judges with an ego?  The judge is cast into the role of the silly townsfolk in the transmission version of The Emperor's New Clothes.  Does the judge side with the transmission company because she doesn't understand and wants to avoid looking dumb?  Or does she point her finger and declare the transmission company naked (and full of crap)?
Is it possible that an experienced ALJ got everything wrong?  And is it likely that the PUC Commissioners will toss out her decision in its entirety and approve the project anyhow?  It remains to be seen, but I think that stuff only happens in fairy tales.

Up next... other parties may file replies to Transource's exceptions.  Then the Commissioners review everything and make their decision.
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Pennsylvania Judge Recommends Transource Independence Energy Connection be Denied

12/29/2020

4 Comments

 
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Merry Christmas, Pennsylvania!  Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission Administrative Law Judge Elizabeth Barnes issued her decision recommending denial of Transource's IEC project on December 22, just in time for Christmas.  This is an amazing gift to the citizens of Pennsylvania, who have been battling this unneeded project since 2017.

While the judge recommended that the Commissioners deny Transource's application, the Commission is free to reject her recommendations and approve it anyhow.  While this is unlikely, it could happen.  The regulatory system in Pennsylvania appoints administrative law judges to hear the case, evaluate evidence, and make determinations based on law.  In some states, such as Maryland, the actual Commissioners hear cases and issue decisions directly.  But in Pennsylvania, the PUC relies on the expertise of administrative law judges to handle the hearings and simply make recommendations to the Commissioners.  Cross your fingers and knock on wood that the Commissioners rely on the judge's expertise to deny the application and aren't sidetracked by any of Transource's nonsense and lobbying to reject the judge's hard work.  Because Transource will do that, you know.  It will now focus its attention on the Commissioners and try to convince them to reject the judge's recommendation.  It's what utilities do when faced with rejection... file more briefs and hire more lobbyists to pressure elected officials to put the squeeze on the Commissioners to reject the judge's recommendation.  Of course, you can participate in this phase of the case as well by filing new comments asking the Commissioners to accept the judge's recommendations, and contacting your elected representatives expressing your support for the judge's recommendations and asking that they also support the judge.

And while you're busy writing comments, you might also send a note to the PA Office of the Consumer Advocate (OCA) thanking them for all their hard work on this case.  After reading the judge's decision, I believe that OCA's participation was crucial to proving that the Transource IEC is not needed.  Lack of "need" for the project was the threshold issue for the judge's denial, although there was reason to deny on other factors under consideration.  The judge stated, "the IEC Project is no longer needed for the purpose for which it was designed in 2016."

The judge found that the "congestion" that was PJM's basis for the project has evaporated.  She recognized that congestion is fleeting and that new transmission to alleviate it is not always a good thing.  She also recognized that PJM's forecasts are not necessarily accurate.
In the simulation that PJM performed in 2015, the PROMOD model simulated a congestion cost of $110 million occurring on the AP South Reactive Interface in 2019. Tr. at 2936. According to the simulation, the AP South Reactive Interface had the highest congestion cost simulated in 2019 when compared to the Safe Harbor-Graceton, Conastone-Peach Bottom, and AEP-DOM constraints. Id. In reality, Congestion on the AP South Reactive Interface cost approximately $14.5 million in 2019, substantially lower than predicted by PJM’s forward-looking models. Tr. at 2921. This indicates the erroneous assumptions that were used to calculate the benefit-cost ratio that PJM relied upon when selecting the IEC Project for approval.
Hear that, PJM?  All your complicated reasoning for the project didn't fool the judge.  She also recognized that "Transource seems to be creating new reasons for the project."  All those arguments about the project being for "reliability" didn't fool the judge either.  Regarding the argument that Transource would relieve transmission congestion that was creating "discriminatory prices," the judge didn't buy that either.
Transource is a foreign company asserting that economic congestion creates artificially low prices in the unconstrained region resulting in rates that are discriminatory and unfair for customers in the constrained region. I reject this premise as evidence to find “need” pursuant to the meaning of the term in 52 Pa. Code Section 57.76(a)(1). Economic congestion is not a form of rate discrimination that implicates the Commission’s authority, but may be an appropriate market-based response to the wholesale power market. Any difference in rates above versus below the point of congestion or constraint can represent reasonable differences in the cost to serve customers in the constrained region as opposed to those in the unconstrained region. I do not find rates in a constrained area necessarily per se discriminatory.

No one from Maryland or Washington D.C. testified at any public input hearing to complain about discriminatory rates in favor of the project. Some individuals from Maryland spoke against the project at public input hearings. For example, Patty Hankins of 229 St. Mary’s Road, Plyesville, Maryland testified against the project as there was insufficient cost updates from 2015 data to warrant the project. She feared projected costs kept escalating and she argued the existing Otter Creek to Conastone 230 kV line rebuilt by PPL could carry two 230 kV circuits but was currently carrying one as of June 1, 2018.  Ms. Hankins testified that the cost to add 230 kV lines to PPL’s existing transmission towers would cost less than the IEC project.

I heard no complaints from any individuals that rates were too high or prices discriminatory in Washington D.C. or in Maryland compared to Pennsylvania, or that they did not have reliable electric service in those areas. Only Transource’s witnesses testified that there was price discrimination. PJM did not identify or consider non-transmission alternatives to alleviate the projected congestion in the AP Interface.
None of these supposedly benefiting ratepayers from the city thought they needed the project.  It was only PJM and Transource that thought it was a good idea.  The judge also recognized that congestion is primarily a market signal to build new generation below the transmission constraint.  If PJM proposes transmission to solve every transmission constraint, its markets never get the chance to work.  Instead, she recognized that there are other solutions to any congestion problem.

The judge also mentioned that when the math is done correctly, the costs of the project outweigh any benefit.
PJM’s forward-looking model projects that if the IEC Project is constructed, the PJM region would only experience net benefits of $32.5 million over a period of 15 years and Pennsylvania, in particular, would experience a net increase of $400 million in wholesale power prices over that same period of time. This result would be produced by constructing a transmission project that is guaranteed to cost at minimum $476 million and will impact the natural, historic, scenic, and aesthetic lands of Franklin and York Counties, Pennsylvania, and the property rights/market values of those Counties’ landowners. Accordingly, while there may be some forecasted price differences in PJM’s forward-looking models, any reduction in “price discrimination” for regions below the constraints is outweighed by the anticipated harm caused to Pennsylvania by the IEC Project.
She also didn't buy all the stuff about other "benefits" for Pennsylvania, such as jobs, increased generation, increased taxes, and economic benefits.

The judge recommended not accepting the settlement for the eastern half of the project because it was not in the public interest.  While Transource alleviated much of the impact on the eastern leg of its project, the settlement did nothing to change the project's western half.  Alleviating impacts on only a portion of the project did not make the entire project in the public interest.  In other words... the impacts on the western part of the project matter, too.  The judge noted that Transource and PJM never proposed making changes to the western half of the project to alleviate impacts, although perhaps they could have.
Route C selected as the Proposed Route for the West Portion of the IEC Project does not have less of an overall impact to the environment than would be utilizing at least in part the existing parallel route owned by West Penn Power already in existence. A separate bid by West Penn Power dubbed project 18h, was rejected by PJM during the competitive bidding process. However, from an environmental impact view, using a line and its ROW already in existence would have less environmental impact on Falling Spring, cross country course, organic farmland, vegetation, woodlands and wildlife along the West Portion of the IEC Project. Thus, I cannot find “minimum adverse environmental impact” as required by Section 57.76(a)(4). There is no evidence Transource and West Penn Power ever negotiated or agreed to any arrangement whereby West Penn Power’s existing parallel transmission system could be upgraded or utilized for an alternative route. I am persuaded by the business representatives, Superintendent, Quincy Township Supervisors, and landowners to find the environmental impact in Franklin County is not minimalized by the Western route.
Could Transource and PJM fall on their sword once again and work with West Penn Power to utilize their existing right of way?  Yes, but that outcome is highly unlikely.  There would be absolutely no reason for Transource to do so if it loses the income from another leg of this project.  They need to be done with this.  Now.

The judge also found the impacts to western PA to be unacceptable when PJM could have selected another option to alleviate the congestion that would have utilized existing rights of way.

All in all, the judge did a remarkable job in this case and her recommendation should stand.  Her decision was long (124 pages!) and thorough, but is good reading for everyone involved in this case.  Let's hope a new year brings an end to the Transource IEC and PJM will finally abandon this project before it costs us any more money.  Oh, we'll all still pay for the costs to date (including the surveys, land agents, and other development costs Transource merrily incurred while this case was winding its way through the regulatory commissions in two states), plus 11% return on equity until paid in full.  But that's another case yet to come, and this time at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

Well done, Pennsylvania!  Congratulations to all the opponents who fought so long and so hard!
4 Comments

PA OCA Recommends Denial of Transource Project

8/22/2020

1 Comment

 
Ut-oh, Transource!  UTTT-OHHHH!  It's looking like the smoke and mirrors Transource and PJM have been using to prop up their unneeded Independence Energy Connection project didn't fool the Pennsylvania Office of the Consumer Advocate.  In fact, it looks like PJM and Transource didn't manage to fool anyone... anyone at all.

Finally got around to looking at the initial briefs in the PA-PUC proceeding, and I recommend the OCA's extensive brief for some great reading!  I have to admit that I didn't bother to even look at Transource's brief.  There was no need after I read the OCA's.  I'm convinced there's simply nothing Transource can say that would be even remotely convincing about a need for this project.  And it's Saturday... why torture myself even further?

The OCA says
The OCA submits, however, that this market efficiency project designed to address economic congestion on the bulk electric grid cannot meet the constitutional, statutory, and regulatory standards under Pennsylvania law. Under the evidence presented, actual congestion on the AP South Reactive Interface has diminished precipitously in the years since this proceeding began, subverting any reason to construct this Project. Moreover, PJM’s benefit-cost analysis, which the Company relies upon to allege that this Project will provide sufficient benefits in excess of the costs, contains significant deficiencies such that it cannot support the necessary findings under Pennsylvania law. Most importantly, PJM’s benefit-cost analysis ignores the detrimental impacts of increased wholesale power prices that accrue to certain transmission zones as a result of constructing the IEC Project, including many transmission zones in Pennsylvania seeing increased costs for Pennsylvania ratepayers. In addition, PJM’s process for approving the IEC Project failed to consider reasonable alternatives and did not address the serious environmental and property issues raised.
And
... the Commission should not approve the IEC Project based upon the Company’s claims of potential reliability violations occurring in 2023 in the absence of the IEC Project. The Company’s belatedly filed evidence is based upon limited testing and outdated data. Moreover, the facilities that may experience these potential violations are aging facilities that are due for an upgrade in the coming years. Indeed, since 2018, several of the facilities that the Company claims will overload are undergoing rebuilds that may increase capacity. The OCA submits that if the IEC Project is not approved, PJM has the means to determine if these potential future reliability violations will still occur and find more efficient, targeted proposals to correct these issues.
And
... Pennsylvania would also be burdened by new transmission infrastructure construction in Franklin and York Counties, including a new substation and a new transmission line in Franklin County, 13.6 miles of which will be constructed over presently unencumbered land, and lengthy re-builds of additional transmission infrastructure and a new substation in York county. Accordingly, these economic and environmental harms demonstrate that the IEC Project fails to meet the constitutional, statutory, and regulatory standards under Pennsylvania law.
And for these reasons
For the reasons set forth herein, the Commission should deny the Company’s Applications.
The company, with the help of IEC proponent PJM Interconnection, has completely failed to demonstrate need for the IEC.  PJM has dug itself a real pit trying to dart and weave in order to bolster its continually failing justification for the IEC.  PJM should have cut its losses and moved on long ago.  But for some reason, PJM prefers to make up new numbers, change its processes, and engage in a general course of "magic math" endeavors to dig deeper and deeper into the realm of unreality in order to support a project that may have been a good idea once upon a time but has since become obsolete.  This is nothing new... once PJM orders a project to be built it holds onto that project way beyond reason and will do immoral things to support the project's necessity.  This does not serve ratepayers.  This serves PJM's member transmission owners who stand to profit from building new transmission we just don't need.

According to PJM, the IEC would provide $844M of benefit over the first 15 years.  The OCA's witness calculated that the IEC would also produce an unaccounted for increase in the cost of power in Pennsylvania by an estimated $812M during that same period.  These two numbers must offset themselves, leaving a mere $32.5M of benefit for PJM consumers over the first 15 years of the project.  To realize that $32.5M in benefit, PJM consumers must spend $527M over the same time period.  This creates a benefit/cost ratio of 0.06.  This means that for every dollar ratepayers pay for this project, they will receive 6 cents of benefit.  As the OCA witness pointed out, this makes no sense.
...I reached the same conclusions whether we look only at Pennsylvania or whether we look at PJM as a whole. Either way this project makes no sense. You don't spend 350 or $400 million so you can save $12 million over a 15-year period. It makes no sense. Q. Only under your cost-benefit analysis; is that right?
A. Under any logical view of what's happening. If you build this project, you can save utilities in Maryland, Virginia, and the District of Columbia almost a billion dollars over 15 years; and, if you don't build that project, that same power is going to be used in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, and New Jersey at a cost of about $970 million.
So, yes, there is some congestion. There is a technical problem to be solved, and the value of that congestion as laid out in the most recent estimate we have is less than a million dollars a year over the next 15 years. So this project makes no sense. I don't care how you run the numbers or how you talk about it. Those are the latest numbers we have, and you can exclude them if you want to but that's reality.

Pennsylvanians are so fortunate to have a great consumer advocate!  The OCA's work on this case is most likely crucial to the ultimate outcome.  Let them know you appreciate their efforts!

Of course, it's not over until it's over.  There's probably another round of reply briefs to come, followed by the decision of the administrative law judge assigned to the case.  After that, parties may file further arguments for their position before the Commissioners vote on the matter.  Will the PUC Commissioners toss out all the work of the judge and approve this project on an unsupported whim?  That's going to be a whole lot harder to do, thanks to the OCA!
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A New Chapter:  Fearless Girls Forge Ahead

7/27/2020

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Once upon a time, Keryn and Ali met at a PATH Opposition Strategy session in West Virginia.  It's been ten long years since then, and we're still challenging and supporting each other to reach our joint goal.

Ever met someone who just makes you better?  Someone so fearless that you just can't help being fearless right along with her?  It's been like Transmission Thelma and Louise, only without the cliff.  Until recently...

Guess where we're going?
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No, not there.  Been there, done that.  Time for a change of scenery.
Don't tell us we can't do something.  Don't tell us we don't matter.  Don't tell us we're powerless.  When the door shuts in our faces, we open a window.

Fearless.
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Maryland PSC Approves Transource.  But...

7/1/2020

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Whoopie de doo... the Maryland PSC couldn't wait any longer to get rid of the Transource issue, so it tossed Western Maryland under the bus and suspended disbelief long enough to approve the settlement Transource reached with state agencies and intervening landowner groups.  The lone opponent of the settlement agreement, Maryland's Office of Peoples Counsel, got kicked under the bus, too.  Think about that one... the only party to the case representing the interests of all Maryland's  electric consumers got kicked under the bus in favor of the interests of state agencies and a small community of landowners.

Of course, the PSC was decidedly dismissive of the landowners as well.  The PSC found that it could reject certain portions of the settlement agreement, while still approving the agreement.  The agreement was written to be whole... removal of any portion of the agreement voids the agreement.  However the PSC says it is only rejecting those provisions, not disapproving them.  Sounds like a bunch of weasel words to me.

The portion of the settlement agreement that the PSC rejected, of course, was the agreement that Transource would reimburse citizen groups and individual citizen intervenors for a portion of their legal costs.  The PSC is not taking a position on this, therefore the PSC is not going to enforce that portion of the settlement agreement.  What if Transource weasels out of paying?  If they don't pay, the citizen groups can spend even more money taking Transource to court.  Transource, for its part, should think long and hard about trying to include these costs in rates.  The PSC approved the project without those provisions, therefore it would be pretty hard to argue that they are a necessary cost of constructing the project that should be paid for by ratepayers.
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Maybe AEP can just deduct these costs from Hector's salary?  Don't worry, Hector, your financial pain will be minimal when Pennsylvania doesn't approve the Transource project.

So, let's turn to Pennsylvania.  Maryland obviously got tired of waiting for Pennsylvania to make a decision and decided to go first.  Could Maryland's approval of Transource and dismissal of concerns about the western segment influence what Pennsylvania will do?  Doubt it.  Many moons ago, on a different transmission project, West Virginia permitted it first, and everyone believed Pennsylvania would have to approve it, too, just to align with West Virginia.  But it didn't.  The PA PUC administrative law judges recommended a denial.  And the transmission company had to get on its knees and beg for a settlement that involved abandoning the vast majority of the project in Pennsylvania.  What was eventually approved was something like 2 miles of line. 

The people and governments of western Pennsylvania are still very much in opposition to the project.  The longer segment of the Pennsylvania project is on the western side.  In Maryland, all the opposition was on the eastern segment.  In Pennsylvania, opposition has been about equal between east and west.  However, the western opponents did not sign a settlement agreement because there was nothing in it for them.  Transource has refused to make similar improvements to the western segment.

In addition, the Transource project will create a whole bunch of new costs for Pennsylvania electric consumers.  In Maryland, the PSC dismissed new costs in one electric zone in favor of purported cost reductions in other zones.  The MD PSC tossed Delmarva customers under the bus in order to create "savings" for customers elsewhere.  It would be much harder for Pennsylvania to toss ALL its electric customers under the bus in order to create "savings" for electric customers in other states.  Sounds pretty dumb when it's all boiled down, doesn't it?

But, hey, guess what?  Transource cannot construct its project in Maryland until the Pennsylvania portion is approved. 

OPC also submits that the Project could be detrimental to Maryland customers if Transource does not also receive approval from the Pennsylvania commission (or the Project is otherwise abandoned by PJM) because, if so, Transource and BGE may be entitled to the recovery of prudently incurred abandonment costs. The issue of abandonment costs is an appreciable risk. Regarding the mitigation of such costs, in Case No. 9470—a separate but related CPCN proceeding—Potomac Edison, the applicant transmission owner, committed to limiting its construction costs, to the extent possible, pending the ultimate approval of the combined IEC Project in Maryland and in Pennsylvania.   The Commission finds that a similar limitation under the circumstances is warranted. At the February Settlement Hearing, Transource witness Weber testified that Transource has incurred approximately $35 million to date, non-inclusive of Transource’s additional firm price contracts. Witness Weber stated that Transource would wait for approvals from both Maryland and Pennsylvania before beginning construction. The Commission will hold Transource to this commitment.
Wait for approvals from Pennsylvania before beginning construction.  Got it?  Of course, the Maryland PSC showed its
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tendencies in the corresponding ordering paragraph.
That as an additional condition of the Commission’s approvals in this matter, Transource and BGE are directed to minimize all construction activities and additional construction-related costs, as they relate to the Maryland portions of the IEC Project, pending the regulatory approvals of Alternative Project 9A by the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission and final approval by the PJM Board.
What's the difference between "beginning construction" and "minimizing construction"?  Oh, probably another $35M or so.  No big deal... you're going to pay for it, not Transource or the Maryland PSC Commissioners.  What do they care about wasting your money?
So, what is up in Pennsylvania?  The PA PUC issued a new schedule for evidentiary hearings on July 9 and 10.  However, that is premised on the hearings being conducted via Skype. Franklin County and Stop Transource Franklin County have filed motions asking that the hearings be delayed until they could be held in person.  Not everyone has access to computers and Skype (remember there are a lot of German Baptist "plain people" in Franklin Co.) and the issue of taking people's property using eminent domain requires in-person proceedings that everyone can understand and participate in.  If this motion is granted, it could delay the PA PUC decision even more.  Right now, they'd be lucky to have a decision by the end of the year.  Who knows how much time would be added by waiting until it's safe to gather in person?

Whenever this hearing happens, it's going to get really interesting really quick.  Stop Transource has a new witness for these hearings.  Joe Bowring, PJM's Market Monitor, will be testifying on their behalf.  The Market Monitor has been a long-time critic of PJM's Market Efficiency process, and apparently not a fan of the Transource project, either.  STFC quotes this passage from the Market Monitor's most recent State of the Market report:
The Transource Project (Project 9A) is an example of a PJM approved market efficiency project that passed PJM’s 1.25 benefit/cost threshold test despite having benefits, if accurately calculated, that were less than forecasted costs. This project also illustrates the risks of ignoring potential cost increases given that the costs included in the benefit/cost calculation are nonbinding estimates. The Transource Project was proposed in PJM’s 2014/2015 RTEP long term window. PJM’s 2014/2015 RTEP long term window was the first market efficiency cycle under Order 1000. The 2014/2015 long term window was open from November 1, 2014, through February 28, 2015. This window accepted proposals to address historical congestion on 12 identified flowgates. The AP South Interface was one of the 12 identified flow gates listed in the 2014/15 RTEP Long Term Proposal Window Problem Statement.

A total of 41 market efficiency projects were proposed to address congestion on the AP South Transmission Interface. Transource Energy LLC, together with Dominion High Voltage, submitted a proposal referenced by PJM as Project 9A (or IEC or the Transource project) to address AP South related congestion.


Project 9A was considered a subregional project based on its voltage level, meaning that changes in forecasted system costs were not considered for purposes of estimating the benefit/cost ratios. Instead, only reductions in zonal load costs were considered as a benefit of the project. Any increases in zonal load costs were ignored in the analysis.

The initial study had a benefit to cost ratio of 2.48, with a capital cost of $340.6 million. The sum of the positive (energy cost reductions) effects was $1,188.07 million. The sum of negative effects (energy cost increases) was $851.67 million. The net actual benefit of the project in the study was therefore $336.40 million, not the $1,188.07 used in the study. Using the total benefits (positive and negative) to compare to the net present value of costs, the benefit to cost ratio was 0.70, not 2.48. The project should have been rejected on those grounds.

Subsequent studies of the 9A project have reduced its benefit/cost ratio as a result of increased costs, decreased congestion on the AP South Interface since 2014 and a reduction in peak load forecasts since 2015.
You really should read his report.  It also includes delicious nuggets like this:
Projecting speculative transmission related benefits for 15 years based on the existing generation fleet and existing patterns of congestion eliminates the potential for new generation to respond to market signals. The market efficiency process allows assets built under the cost of service regulatory paradigm to displace generation assets built under the competitive market paradigm. In addition, there are significant issues with PJM’s current benefit/cost analysis, which cause it to consistently overstate the potential benefits of market efficiency projects. The MMU recommends that the market efficiency process be eliminated.
The PA-PUC could probably make good money selling tickets to this show!

Remember, it's not over until it's over, and there's still lots more to come!
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Another Transmission Nightmare Begins...

2/27/2020

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I really hate running across stories like this.  If you're a regular reader here, you've probably been there yourself.  They all start the same way...

A community is blind-sided by a new transmission proposal.  The transmission company herds them into one of their "Open House" dog and pony shows, where the landowners glare at transmission employees with arms folded in news photos.  The news media is there to report the story and get quotes from the landowners (because, hey, dirty laundry sells).  The landowners then begin to gather, both in and outside the meeting.  Information is exchanged, and a transmission opposition group is born.

I got my best piece of advice ever at one of these Open House meetings.  The sympathetic transmission company guy innocently told me "Make a lot of noise."  Damn straight, Skippy!

So, what's this project?  The Central Virginia Reliability Project is the brainchild of American Electric Power's Appalachian Power Co.  The news dutifully parroted ApCo's project spiel:
The project is designed to provide a new electricity source for the region with the construction of 15 miles of transmission lines and improvements to four substations in Amherst, Appomattox, Campbell and Nelson counties.
The completed transmission line would strengthen the local power grid, increase reliability to the area and reduce the likelihood of power outages, according to APCo spokesperson George Porter. He said Albemarle, Appomattox, Amherst, Campbell and Nelson counties all would see increased service reliability.

Well, doesn't that sound impressive and, ya know, sort of "needed?"  Maybe if you're an innocent.

New electricity source?  Not hardly.  ApCo is simply re-routing existing transmission lines that have reached the end of their useful life.  Instead of simply rebuilding them, they had a better idea.  But it's not a new power supply. 
Here's a map and description of this project from PJM's website.
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PJM?  What is PJM?  I notice PJM didn't make the news.  Is ApCo saving PJM as a shield to whip out if this community revolts and starts making noise?  C'mon, usually it's "PJM told us to do this.  Our hands are tied."

Except PJM didn't really tell them to do this, at least not in this way.  Here's how the project dreamed up by ApCo was presented to PJM:
There are also supplemental needs in the area that were evaluated together with the baseline violations. The supplemental needs in the area are driven by equipment condition for the Amherst – Clifford 69 kV and Clifford – Scottsville 46 kV circuits. The lines were built in 1960 and 1926 respectively, on wood pole structures and have many open conditions due to rot, woodpecker/insect damage, split poles, broken insulators, and damaged shield wire. The recommended solution addresses both the baseline and supplemental needs in the area and is the most cost effective. The estimated cost for this project is $85 million, and the required in-service date is December, 2022. Based on their FERC 715 TO Criteria, the local transmission owner, AEP, will be designated to complete this work.
Oh, supplemental needs.  In other words, there was more than one way to skin this cat, and AEP selected the project design it wanted.  The other options not selected are probably as boundless as AEP's energy.

Gotta wonder... did PJM do a "constructability analysis" on this project to see if it was feasible?  I don't see it.  Guess PJM figured the landowners in "central Virginia" would just go along like happy little campers.

And all that blather about reliability?  It's designed to make you think that your lights are going to go off if this project doesn't happen.  It's designed to make you remember all those times that your power went off during storms.  It's designed to make you think that you will experience less outages if this transmission line is built.  Except that's not reality.  Most power outages happen on the distribution system, not the transmission system.  It's the network of local power lines that bring power to your home, and not the big transmission lines that move it around between substations, where the vast majority of power outages happen.  The power will still go out in your house when that system fails.

The News & Advance reports:
Along the multiple possible routes, more than 300 landowners had the potential to be effected — largely by the 70- to 90-foot galvanized steel poles that would be constructed to carry the transmission lines.
That's a lot of people.  They could make a lot of noise.  But ApCo seems to be playing them against each other right now by encouraging them to push the project onto someone else like a nasty, rotten hot potato until one of the proposed line segments simply loses.  ApCo pretends it cares about landowners and communities and is only seeking their help in selecting the best route.  ApCo considers the project a fait accompli and that one of these route segments must lose.  However, it's not about where to put it... it's about whether to put it.
Martin’s neighbors, Bill and Cole Carney, harbor similar fears. One of the proposed routes would cut through their property. Owners of the 1851 plantation home that gave Tin Top Place its name, they have been on the property for about a year. Budding farmers with plans to expand and potentially start an organic farm, Bill Carney said it will render swathes of their land useless, force acres of woods to be cut down and prevent them from moving forward with plans for the farm.
“How are we supposed to sell products if we have an industrial power line coming through our supposed organic fields?” said Cole Carney. “We never would have bought had we known this was coming.”
The Carneys didn't know it was coming.  And the community didn't know it was coming.  But PJM and ApCo knew it was coming back in 2018.  They just didn't bother to tell anyone until they had fully developed the project.  If ApCo really wanted to know what the community thought about it, it should have been having open houses and listening to the community back in 2018.  But it chose to roll the dice and keep with the tired old transmission protocol of springing this on the community at the last minute.

It remains to be seen how much noise this community can make.  When it happens, it can be magic.
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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